WHY JUBILEE WILL BEAT CORD

I fear that Raila Odinga might lose in the March poll. Here is why; The March election will be a contest between the old generation(CORD) and the modern, otherwise digital generation(Jubilee). Majority of the voters lie in the latter's bracket in terms of age. The representation of the youth in the Cord alliance is  scanty as compared to the Jubilee alliance. The top three people in Cord(Wetang'ula, Raila and Kalonzo) are above 50 whereas the Jubilee alliance is a composition of men below the age of 50. That is a factor. Cord's sidelining of the youth is a clear indication that they do not have the interests of the youth at heart. The youth, who have the wherewithal to proppel someone to the House on the hill will be more secure in the Jubilee alliance rather than Cord.
Another factor is women representation. In the Cord's hierarchy, women are not richly represented as compared to Jubilee where Charity Ngilu is among the Jubilee's decision makers. That sends jitters down my spine. I fear that failure by Cord to respect the gender rule in its organ, will work against them in the coming general election. Women will feel that they will not have a mouthpiece in the Cord's regime as compared to that of Jubilee where they will bank their hopes on Charity Ngilu who has even included the Women Agenda in her manifesto that Uhuru-Ruto team pledged to honour.
Thirdly, those who surround Raila are a liability. Ranging from Jakoyo Midiwo to Anyang' Nyong'o, these people are known to be arrogant and not to be trusted. The way Anyang' Nyong'o has approached the issue on Nurses strike has put a stain on his managerial skills. His arrogance and threats might be a sign of a dictatorial rule. Kenyans will shy away from voting in leaders who are likely not going to listen to their pleas. Leaders who instead finding an amicable solution when there is an industrial action, use threats to compel the minors to submit. That is not where we want to go. Kenyans want a government that listens to them and acts to the good of the public. Nyong'o has watched patients suffer when the Nurses were on strike, he, instead of demonstrating good managerial skills, littered the public with threats to Nurses.
Also, the inside steak that made up ODM disintegrated into other parties. As much as i want to believe that those who made the exodus were of selfish minds, i am compelled to question the real reason. There is a Swahili saying "Ajuaye adhabu ya kaburi ni maiti"(He who knows the grave is the corpse). Those who exited did so with a motive. We cannot assume that. Something is really wrong in the Raila's camp.

Another issue is the ICC. The Jubilee duo, seeking to lead our country, are facing serious crimes against humanity at the ICC. This has been seen a major reason that may cripple our country due to economic sanctions that would be imposed against us. Well, that may be used against Cord. Although the names of Ruto and Uhuru have been adversely mentioned, it is imperative for Kenyans to know the epitome of the Post-election violence that left 1,333 lives dead and many more displaced. The Kikuyus and the Kalenjins were the main participants in the PEV. They were butchering each others in that period as a result of flawed election results. However, leaders of these communities have reconciled, they have re-united their people and put them under the Jubilee alliance umbrella. The Kalenjins, who are considered to be the Kikuyu's public enemy number one, are eating from the same plate. That is a powerful feat one can achieve.
Although the Kikuyu vote is widely seen as hermetic, i have come to understand that everyone will vote for those next to them. The Kikuyus fronted Uhuru because he has the financial muscle to run the expensive Kenya's campaign. You cannot tell me that Wilfred Machage, the MP for Kuria can have that much. Politics is all about money. If you have money, you will be noticed. That is why we havent noticed Ole Kiyiapi.
Finally, Raila Odinga may lose because of his people. Stereotype has depicted Luos as people with high lifestyles and like to be knelt upon when offering help. I do not need to elaborate the nitty gritty of what may descend upon Kenyans with Raila's presidency. That as well might be a conjecture. Is Jubilee the way forward for Kenya?
Happy new year. 2013-A year of decisions.