Monday, 18 March 2013

TRIBE WILL NOT BRING BREAD AND BUTTER TO YOUR TABLE


The current campaigns in the social media sites by famous bloggers and normal users that those of the Kikuyu ancestry command a giant share of the national cake is utter disgraceful. The Kikuyus numbers in Kenya notwithstanding, I have to say this men and women, like you and me have fought so hard their way up. 
Those spewing hate for this tribe should first read the history of our nation. The fight for independence in our country stems from Central Kenya, the upsurge of the MauMau movement-a group you all agree was monumental in our freedom- was a composition of Kikuyus. Dedan Kimathi, a man who died fighting for our country, was a Kikuyu. Well, that is historical; let us focus on the problem at hand.
A local blogger that I hold a lot of respect for sampled a section of top national offices whose occupancy is held by Kikuyus. He further, in an ironical twist, asked Kenyans to move on despite of the list he had selected. I believe in hard work, sitting in the social media and jobless corners and pointing accusing fingers to the Kikuyus for your misery will not cologne your life. Those jiggers that have found a breeding ground in the bodies of Kikuyus in Murang’a did not recognize that they actually command Kenya. The jiggers did not even think that the president of Kenya hails from that backyard. They ate and terribly left those Kikuyus in a miserable life. I went to Nyeri, where the outgoing president hails from, I thought that since the president is from there, the cost of living should definitely be down. But alas! I bought soap the same price I bought it in Kisumu. The same went for other products.
People who don’t care about the future of our nation are busy implanting a siege mentality into our minds. They are portraying Kikuyus as greed and unwanted people in the society, because this men and women due to their hardwork have effectively established business empires under their names.  
Fellow Kenyans, whether a Kuria or a Nubian becomes President, your life will still remain unchanged if you don’t take it upon yourself to transform it. William Ruto will not give you a call and elevate you. Fight for it. The youth have a critical role to play in shunning tribalism. I know of many people who don’t speak their native language, they only know of Swahili, English and the latest Sheng’. I know of people who have intermarried because love knows no tribe. Can’t this olive branch be extended to politics? Instead of accusing this men and women for who they are, let us look for ways that can make us work together for the greater good of our economy. The devolved system of governance is a wonderful style that will transform our country. Forget about leaders, think for yourself, how you will bring food to the table, how you will pay fees for you kids and how you will help others. It is possible, only if you stop creating a bad impression of other tribes. They never chose to be born there, God chose it that way.  

Wednesday, 20 February 2013

Why A Raila Win Will Be Safe For Kenya

That Kenya will go into a presidential run-off after the March 4 poll is now inevitable. According to the latest opinion polls trends, two candidates are presumably the front runners in the race. Jubilee coalition flag bearer Uhuru Kenyatta, is set to settle old scores with Cord coalition candidate Raila Odinga, a rivalry dated back to their fathers.
However, what remains to be a conjecture is the post-poll period. Muted tension has gripped the country, perhaps due to the 2007 general election grim experience. During that period, violence erupted in different places after the incubent, outgoing president Mwai Kibaki, was declared winner by the defunct Electoral Commission of Kenya Chairman Samuel Kivuitu and was hastily sworn in after the controversial announcement.

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Here is my hypothesis of what will likely happen after the March poll.
 A Raila Odinga win will not be surrounded by controversies and tension. The Jubilee bandwagon will concede defeat immediately after the poll. The Jubilee duo-Ruto and Uhuru- will not wish to tarnish their images that they have worked so hard to reclaim. Besides, their pending cases at the Hague-based court will dominate their agenda list. Their young age will also make them easily concede defeat. Their age allows them to fight for another day. 
However, a Uhuru win, will not augur well with the Cord battalion. A fleet of cases will pack the High Court and the Supreme Court that would be in place then. Activists will rush to court seeking an order to bar the duo from swearing in due to their Integrity. They shall use their pending charges at the ICC as their premises. Another group will go into court seeking for the nullification of the results because the duo will not be capable to lead the country as a result of their constant trips to the Hague.
As expected, the Supreme Court will throw out the cases and allow for the swearing in to continue as scheduled. That sounds like a recipe for violence.
And now a run-off-which i equate as the extra time footballing where a winner should be determined-will be done after intensive and heated campaign. The date in which the run-off will take place coincides with the date when the Jubilee duo will be expected to appear in court when their trials will be beginning. This works against the two considering that their rivals-most probably Cord- will use it as a campaigning tool.

Tuesday, 15 January 2013

Amani Coalition Running-mate Conundrum


 Musalia Mudavadi has been tagged as an opportunist and someone who loves free things. This was clearly demonstrated in 2002/2012 when a carrot was dangled to him and without hesitation, he took a bite and later regretted on both occasions. Amani coalition, the auspices that he will use in the presidential race was hurriedly formed after his gentleman's agreement with Jubilee's Uhuru Kenyatta collapsed.
After entering into a coalition with Kanu, it was widely expected that he would announce Gideon Moi as his running mate. He played a wild card on this issue. He has since left the masses guessing on his next move.
Here is my hypothesis on Mudavadi's next move. His eyes are firmly focused on the nomination process, being an opportunist, he knows bigwigs will be floored in the nomination exercise. A case example, Oburu Odinga flooring James Orengo to book ticket for the Siaya gubernatorial race. Mudavadi expects to choose one of the strongest losers in the nomination for this reserved slot. His arithmetic is that he will not offer Eugene Wamalwa leader of majority, he doesnt want to create regional imbalance. Instead the slot is likely going for Gideon Moi whose political strength in the Rift Valley is low but banks on his father's superiority to get a following.
Methinks that the plan may backfire, his opportunism may flop. Political alliances are aware of strong losers in the nomination process. That is why already, as indicated by Jubilee and Cord, mechanisms are in place to ensure those who loose arent left in the cold. MUSALIA MUDAVADI, NAME YOUR RUNNING MATE AND FACE THE REST OF THE TEAMS LIKE A REAL MAN. And if you can't Raila Odinga has on several occasions asked you to join his bandwagon. Do that, you have a bright political future but your hurry will burn that ambition like bush fire. I rest my case.

Monday, 14 January 2013

Kenyan Politicians And Footballers Resemble


Politicians are like a national team, when they play for their respective clubs, they appear to be enemies attacking each other and hurling abuses at each other in the field of play. But when on national duty, they hug and celebrate a goal together.
When our politicians are in the public arena, they abuse and abuse each other,making us actually believe that they are enemies indeed.However, when seated in parliament they agree on issues such as salary increment and send-off packages. We, the fans, on the other hand can even go to an extent of comitting suicide once we hear our favourite team lost.
We can initiate violence because politician X has lost to politician Y. Yet, just like footballers we praise, they dont know that you even exist. We go ahead and butcher each other for holding different political ideologies. We are the fans at the terraces, we pay the gate fee(Taxes) to pay the players, yet the players(Politicians) can deceive us to fight each other unnecessarily.
As campaigns heat up, it is saddening to see Kenyans stooping so low to worship politicians because they want a token, a token stolen from the public coffers. Our youths should learn that the country we call Kenya can only exist if they resolve to peacefully vote and keep off from violent acts. One stone can turn into two and then thousands creating a massive loss of property and wealth. Our economy was crippled after the 2007 elections, because we resolved to engage in violent acts after our preferred candidates, who by the way, are now 'enemies', lost 'unfairly'. The normal lifestyle was paralysed, we went to the streets chanting the "Haki yetu" slogan.We forgot the brotherhood, we forgot our pride.
The same memories may be rekindled if we continue with this trend. We should guard our nation like an egg. Our nation is so fragile that it cannot afford to be hurled with even one single stone. Forget about politics. Take your voters card, elect a mature and responsible leader and go home and continue with your daily chores. These politicians' families live in mansions abroad. When we will start fighting and shedding blood, he will fly away and join his happy family in Australia while your torched makuti house remin stranded in the hills of Gusii or in the lowland of the Coastal region. Pray for peace and prosperity for our beloved country and let us choose peace. Use your voters card, not stones.

Friday, 11 January 2013

Why Kenyans Must Vote The Current MPs Out

The book of 2 Samuel 2:13 clearly demonstrates the character that embeds in our legislators’ minds. In this book of the old testament thus states; The rich man had a very large number of sheep and cattle, but the poor man had nothing except one little ewe lamb he had bought. He raised it, and it grew up with him and his children. It shared his food, drank from his cup and even slept in his arms. It was like a daughter to him. "Now a traveler came to the rich man, but the rich man refrained from taking one of his own sheep or cattle to prepare a meal for the traveler who had come to him. Instead, he took the ewe lamb that belonged to the poor man and prepared it for the one who had come to him." Davidburned with anger against the man and said to Nathan, "As surely as the LORD lives, the man who did this deserves to die! He must pay for that lamb four times over, because he did such a thing and had no pity."
It is a fact that the legislators live in high places, eating good food and driving Porsche cars when a simple taxpayer Kenyan is living in the slum and is not sure of the next meal. Apart from the hefty packages that will be drawn from the public coffers the members of parliament are also on a pension plan. It is draconian of the members of parliament to ignore the cry of Kenyans. And even as all this is taking place, a lot of questions remain unanswered; will those members who will retain their seats or get elected in other posts still be eligible for this send-off package? As a member of parliament of Othaya, will President Mwai Kibaki still get the send-off package apart from the one meant for the president? The same applies with the prime minister and his two deputies.
It is insatiable of the legislators to append themselves with the send-off packages when Kenyans are reeling in abject squalor. It is therefore prudent for president Mwai Kibaki to reject appending his signature on this dirty bill. If he does, then the smooth road of his legacy will be littered. Kenyans don’t forget mistakes no matter how an angel one has been.  And as this politicians criss-cross the country in their quest to remain in power, Kenyans should be made aware that the money that they will be given to act as bait is theirs.
The days when Kenyans could be lured by money to vote in a politician are long gone. Social media commentators and indeed the whole of social media have condemned the move by the legislatures to award themselves especially now that our economy is grappling with hardships.


Sunday, 6 January 2013

Why Musalia Mudavadi's third force is likely to hurt Cord

Mudavadi's cobbling up of a third force hasn't been received with cheers from political rivals who perceive his candidacy as a threat. Analysts have also predicted that Mudavadi's entrance may create a run-off to determine Kenya's next President. But then, let us get real. Cord alliance is likely to suffer from this scenario. I have based my argument on the following premises; Mudavadi, hails from Western Kenya. It is a fact that he will shepherd the Luhya vote(third largest in population) to his side, a feat he is likely to achieve. The Luhyas, may disappoint Cord's point man in Western-Moses Wetang'ula because they will be poisoned by the siege mentality. They must have one of their own in state house. Such likelihood, will render Wetang'ula's presence in Cord irrelevant since he will not marshall the Luhya vote to rally behind Cord. Therefore, Western Kenya, home of Cord's presidential flag bearer will remain divided. Raila's full support will will only be isolated to the Luo Nyanza with Gusii vote still remaining to be a wild card.
Another big man in the Cord alliance Kalonzo Musyoka, may fail to bring in the desired numbers. With the presence of Charity Ngilu, the Kamba vote will remain divided.
Raila's popularity, yes, remains high. However, popularity in itself may not hand him the presidency. The pattern of voting in Kenya is based on the ethnic card, a card that has bee well played by the Jubilee alliance. For Raila to beat Uhuru, he should improvise a way to woo Mudavadi to his camp-in this case, during the run-off. Otherwise his chances still remain to be dim considering the fact that the Jubilee alliance has locked the Kikuyu vote, Kalenjin vote,and a section of the Northern Kenya vote. By getting real with issues, we will be discussing mature politic here. I am not in any way affiliated to Jubilee, in fact, i have a soft spot for Cord.
That is my analogy.

Wednesday, 2 January 2013

Let Us Get Real: Facing The Facts On The March Poll

 From my previous update on why Raila might lose in the March poll, i recieved overwhelming backlash from a rather perturbed section of the social media community. In their argument, the antagonists claimed that the Jubilee alliance will not ascend to power due to the yet-to-begin ICC trials. I find the argument not satisfactory. Once again, many were easily swayed from facing real issues affecting Kenyans. Today, we will debate on the impact of the ICC incase of Uhuru presidency. Those spreading unjustifiable propaganda that Kenya will face international economic sanctions if the Jubilee alliance forms the next government need to rethink again. It is even preposterous for us to compare Kenya with Sudan which has been declared to be a pariah state. Uhuru Kenyatta has made it clear that incase he wins the Presidency, he will coopertae with the ICC. The cooperation in itself will not chase away foreign investors, it will not cripple Kenya's economy. Bashir(Sudan) is having a hard time because he failed to coopertate with the ICC. The ICC issue is more than meets the eye. Did Ruto sponsor the violence that erupted in Kisumu? Did Uhuru sponsor the violence in Kibera? Or were they self-sponsored. I am not saying that Ocampo did a shoddy work, neither am i saying that the PEV victims shouldn't get justice,no. All am saying is the truthh that we think we know might be a tip of the iceberg. Uhuru-Sang-Ruto-Mutahaura who have been suspected to be the faces behind the post-poll violence, may be a cog in a big machine.